This year's awards season sticks out not because of all the great movies, but because there aren't any clear leaders in the major categories. With the Golden Globe Awards taking place this weekend, that may change, but right now, there is only one nominee that appears to have his award locked down.

The Best Supporting Actor category is stacked with strong performances in a wide range of movies, but based on the early awards in the season and how analysts have forecast the category, there's already a strong favorite heading into the ceremony on Sunday.

Who Will Win: Jared Leto

There isn't a clearer race in the whole of awards season this year, and there's a good reason for that. Leto's transformative performance as a transgender woman with AIDS is a career best and, as it stands, may be the only lock for an Academy Award. Leto has been acting for two decades at this point (seemingly without aging), but he's really come into his own here in a role that has left so many audiences and critics groups blown away. If you're betting on any race this year, bet on Leto for Best Supporting Actor.

Who Should Win: Michael Fassbender

Listen, we don't have a bad thing to say about Leto's performance in "Dallas Buyers Club," but we do have something to say about how it's a cruelty of the modern world that the genius of Michael Fassbender has gone unacknowledged for so long. His performance in "12 Years A Slave" is so monstrous and so fully realized that it almost hurts the film by making otherwise good performances (*cough*Brad Pitt*cough*) look bad. How do you not award that?

The Golden Globes air Sunday night at 8 p.m. ET. Keep an eye on MTV News for everything you need to know before, during and after the show.

Who do you think should win the Best Supporting Actor category? Cast your vote!