Anyone who is at least vaguely familiar with the “Twilight Saga” and the phenomenon that it is could tell you that “Breaking Dawn – Part 1,” the penultimate entry in the series, is going to be big at the box office.
Just how big? Deadline Hollywood reported Wednesday (November 16) that Summit Entertainment, the studio behind the paranormal romance films, expects a domestic opening-weekend gross of anywhere from $110 million to $125 million. An opening weekend within that range could put it in the top 10 highest-grossing debuts ever.
As large as those figures may be, they are still a far cry from the biggest domestic opening for a “Twilight” film. In 2009, “New Moon” earned a whopping $142 million during its three-day opening, beating the series’ second best debut, “Eclipse,” by $22 million.
Jeff Bock, box-office analyst for Exhibitor Relations, thinks “Breaking Dawn” could outperform Summit’s expectations. “Expect ’Breaking Dawn – Part 1’ to suck the life out of the box office to the tune of $150 million this weekend,” Bock wrote in an email to MTV News.
That would put the film within the top five all-time weekends, but Bock doubts it will break any records. “It’s doubtful it can top ’Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2’’s record-breaking $169 million debut ,” Bock said. “But it’s certainly not out of the question for ’Breaking Dawn – Part 2’ to hit that mark.”
Bock’s predictions are more along the lines of what rival studios expect from the film, according to Deadline. Despite Summit’s own lofty expectations, a more recent version of the same report claims that rival studios have accused Summit of low-balling the figures. The other studios expect “Breaking Dawn – Part 1” to earn in excess of $142 million
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