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Iraq, Iran & North Korea
Photo: U.S. Dept. of State

In his State of the Union speech to Congress in January, President Bush identified three nations that he said pose the greatest threat to both U.S. and global security. Iran, Iraq and North Korea are among a group of nations that, he said, "constitute an axis of evil, arming to threaten the peace of the world."

The U.S. has long been at odds with all three countries. Still, Bush's speech was notable for its harsh tone and his remarks clearly reverberated around the globe. Below is a brief look at these three states, the potential security threats they pose and the impact the president's comments may have had in each.

Iraq

Well before his State of the Union address, President Bush was harping on the fact that Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein has refused to allow United Nations weapons inspectors into his country since 1998. "In order to prove to the world he's not developing weapons of mass destruction, he ought to let the inspectors back in," the president said on November 26 of last year.

Since the September 11 attacks, officials at the Pentagon, the State Department and the White House have debated what should be done about the Iraqi dictator, according to reports in The New York Times and elsewhere. Administration hard-liners argue that extensive military action must be taken to ensure that Iraq can no longer serve as a haven for terrorists. Others worry that strikes against Hussein will imperil the fragile anti-terrorist coalition of nations that Secretary of State Powell and the president pieced together.

Perhaps as a result of the president's latest saber-rattling, Iraq approached United Nations Secretary General Kofi Annan on February 5 in an attempt to open talks. Annan expressed a willingness to meet, but stipulated that allowing weapons inspectors back into Iraq would have to be at the top of the agenda. "The secretary general indicated that he was prepared to receive a delegation from Iraq to discuss implementation of relevant Security Council resolutions," a statement released by the U.N. said. "He will check his calendar to find a mutually convenient date."

There is significant concern among U.N. and U.S. officials that the Iraqis may simply be using talks as a stall tactic, much as they have in the past.

Iran

The Bush administration charges that Iran is behind a recent 50-ton shipment of heavy weapons that Israeli commandos intercepted on its way to Palestinian militants in January. The U.S. also contends that Iran is destabilizing the newly installed government in Afghanistan by arming rogue Afghan warlords, and that Iran continues to try to develop weapons of mass destruction.

Since the fall of the U.S.-supported Shah of Iran, the rise of Islamic fundamentalist Ayatollah Khomeini and the taking of 54 American hostages in 1979, Iran has been on U.S. foreign policy makers' Most Wanted list. As a result, there has existed no formal dialogue between the nations in more than two decades.

According to reports, Iran's conservative religious leaders and its more moderate secular officials have waged a behind-the-scenes tug-of-war for the past several years over what course the country should follow. The conservatives continue to view the West as Iran's arch enemy, while the moderates, it would seem, see economic opportunities for trade with Europe, the U.S. and other nations of the "free world."

As the U.S. has maintained its hard line policy toward Iran, some of its allies have been building bridges to the long ostracized nation in hopes of fostering moderate elements there. Even Britain, America's closest European ally, reestablished ambassadorial relations with Iran in 1999 in an attempt to help bring the country back from the extremist brink.

But according to news reports, the president's State of the Union remarks infuriated and emboldened Iranian hard-liners. On February 8, Iran rejected Britain's choice of ambassador to the country, claiming that he was "a Jew and member of MI6" (MI6 is the British equivalent of America's Central Intelligence Agency). The British say they have no intention of sending another envoy to Tehran.

North Korea

President Bush's State of the Union remarks about North Korea underlined how much U.S. foreign policy toward that Asian nation has changed during this administration.

Former President Clinton and Secretary of State Madeleine Albright worked hard to improve relations between our longtime ally South Korea and our longtime nemesis, North Korea. With American encouragement, South Korean President Kim Dae Jung pursued a "sunshine policy" to improve relations with its northern rival. In a previously unprecedented move, Kim visited the North Korean capital of Pyongyang. In other signs of goodwill, North and South Korean athletes marched together at the summer Olympic Games held in Sydney. There was even talk that North Korea would host matches at this summer's World Cup soccer tournament, which will be staged in South Korea.

But President Bush and his foreign policy team are clearly much less trustful of North Korea than their predecessors, and have struck a much more strident tone. Rather than focus on reconciliation, they have reminded the world of North Korea's repressive policies towards its people and its efforts to develop weapons of mass destruction.

According to news reports, the president's remarks may have prompted North Korea to cancel a long-planned upcoming visit to the country by a team of U.S. foreign policy experts that included several former ambassadors to South Korea. While the trip was not officially sanctioned by the U.S. State Department, it would likely have served as a "back door" mode of communication between North Korean officials and the Bush administration had it gone forward.

By Ethan Zindler


Tune into "Be Heard: An MTV Global Discussion With Colin Powell," premiering February 14 at 8 p.m. ET. Colin Powell answers your questions about world events during the show. Check the Weekly Schedule for encore air times.

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