Every year since 2007, a woman has taken home the Video of the Year Moonman at the MTV Video Music Awards. The ladies really have become the undeniable stars of the category. So, who has won the prize the past four VMAs?
Well, there's a 40 percent chance, mathematically, that a female artist will win the prize. Two of the five nominees are women:
"I think it has to be a lady this year, as in my mind, it's a two-person race between Katy Perry and Adele," Entertainment Weekly staff writer Kyle Anderson told MTV News. "The former because it seems like an appropriate culmination to an unprecedented chart-ruling year, and the latter because it's a feel-good story of quality and skill triumphing over glitz and artificiality."
While Anderson notes it could go either way regarding Adele and Perry, celeb blogger Perez Hilton had a more definite idea who will win. "The women continue their hot streak. Without a doubt, the winner is going to be Adele," he predicted. "This is her year. She's been the critical darling and has also been embraced by the masses in a way we haven't seen in a really long time. She's actually selling albums, week after week, and lots of them. She deserves to win every single award she's nominated for."
Anderson added that the performances scheduled for the night are a major indication that a lady will win. "Either way, it's going to be five straight victories for XX chromosomes," he predicted. "And it should also be noted that considering the biggest performers will also be female — Adele, Lady Gaga, Beyoncé — it's going to be an especially lady-friendly show."
So, could any of the men snag the big prize? Perez said: "I do think the Beastie Boys could pull an upset."
The 28th annual MTV Video Music Awards will air live Sunday from Los Angeles at 9 p.m. ET/PT, following the Selena Gomez-hosted pre-show at 8. See the list of nominees, revisit last year's highlights and vote for Best New Artist by visiting VMA.MTV.com.